01/15/2009, 06:25 PM
No reason to argue, people just are not getting it.
Its not the the netbook is a better solution or that people shouldn't get a Pre. I personally would rather have the Pre (if it does what i think its going to do).
AGAIN ITS NOT WHAT IS BETTER OR WHAT PEOPLE SHOULD DO AND ESPECIALLY NOT WHAT TC-TYPES LIKE ME WILL WANT!
Its that IF the Pre is priced too high, a large section of people will go with what APPEARS to give them more for their money, a $400 Computer instead of a $400 phone. Remember the average customer is not the average TC'er. The target market for the device is in a world of hurt economically.
Can little Johnny do his homework on the Pre? Can I do lots of long typing of reports I bring home from work on a phone? How many movies can I store on a phone? Is the screen big enough to look at the web for hours at a time? A computer will do more and, since most people already have a phone to do voice, a computer to do lots of the other things will be very tempting when they decide they are only going to buy one of them.
Might not have been this way a year ago, but I believe it is the case today. Spending is way down and if somebody sees that, despite the trade offs, they have a choice between a phone that does a lot of what a computer does, or they can keep the free phone they already have and get a computer that does a lot more than what any phone can do (except for the voice calls), many will opt for the computer and have two devices that are more inconvenient than one but which together do more for the same perceived price.
The fact that high end phones have done will in the past is not an answer either. Until the crash this was not as big of an issue and a lot of 4th quarter sales by business users were decided before things really hit the fan. Also until the 4th quarter the netbooks were not really out there. Lets see how they do in the first quarter of 2009. Netbooks took a huge chunk out of the laptop market for the Xmas season and I suspect the next to feel the impact will be phones priced higher than the netbook.
NOTE: Recent reports/rumors have the Pre at a much lower price which would largely solve the problem, which, of course, was my point to begin with!