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  1.    #1  

    Android Central is reporting that: A half-million Android devices activated every day, Andy Rubin says:
    There are now over 500,000 Android devices activated every day, and it's growing at 4.4% w/w
    A year ago, Google announced that they had hit 160k Android phones activated per day.

    Google only counts new Android devices activated. This is not how many were "shipped".

    500,000 a day is a run rate of 182 million a year. The bigger news is that activations are increasing "4.4% w/w". That is, each week there are 4.4% more activations than the previous week. The red dashed line above shows a predicted trend at half the current growth.

    How long is that growth sustainable?

    Not forever but there are over 1.1 billion phones sold a year. Android only has a 17% marketshare. If Android follows the path Microsoft has with Windows, that would be more like 80% marketshare. Android would need 2 million activations a day to have a Windows-like marketshare.

    References: 60,000/day, 100,000/day, 160,000/day, 200,000/day, 300,000/day, 400,000/day, 500,000/day
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    Last edited by milominderbinder; 06/28/2011 at 12:50 PM.
  2. #2  
    Impressive.
  3.    #3  
    Bigger picture, the UN says that there are over 5 Billion Cellphones in use. That means that Android has less than 3% total market penetration, and a lot more phones to sell.
  4. #4  
    wonder how many are smartphones?
    If this helped you hit thanks.
  5. nhavar's Avatar
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    #5  
    How many were new users versus existing user replacements versus users switching from one Android phone to another Android phone? The statistic is nice, but it would be more informative if it had a little more context to what activation means.
  6. #6  
    I wonder how many of those are things like the Nook.
  7. #7  
    This is why I hope HP outsource to at least 2 phone makers and tell them to go CRAZY pushing as many form factors, and specs as possible, but there will be no fragmentation ala, Android.
    Last edited by RoverNole; 06/28/2011 at 03:45 PM.
  8. AZ8
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    #8  
    That is impressive. Google has figured it out.

    A modern day Dark Lord Sauron along with its own..One Ring. Who will emerge as the modern day Frodo, Gandolf and Legolas?
  9. #9  
    by the way google shares havenot performed at all, if you compare Google and S/P index fund, for last 6 months, google is flat while S/P has climbed up quite a bit.
    If this helped you hit thanks.
  10.    #10  
    Quote Originally Posted by kkhanmd View Post
    wonder how many are smartphones?
    Android can only be activated on licensed smartphones or tablets. Licensed Android tablets up until now have been under 1 million a month or 30,000 a day.
    Quote Originally Posted by nhavar View Post
    How many were new users versus existing user replacements versus users switching from one Android phone to another Android phone? ...
    This is the net increase in active service accounts. Buying a new phone and taking the old phone out of service does not increase the net acounts.
    Quote Originally Posted by AZ8 View Post
    ...Who will emerge as the modern day Frodo, Gandolf and Legolas?
    Only Steve Jobs could really play the part of Sauron. Android is Frodo. Matias Duarte is Gandolf, showing up everywhere. Nokia is Legolas who in the end sailed away over the sea. RIMM is Gollum who had the one ring for a while until it drove him mad.
    Last edited by milominderbinder; 06/28/2011 at 05:39 PM.
  11. AZ8
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    #11  
    Quote Originally Posted by milominderbinder View Post
    Only Steve Jobs could really play the part of Sauron. Android is Frodo. Matias Duarte is Gandolf, showing up everywhere. Nokia is Legolas who in the end sailed away over the sea. RIMM is Gollum who had the one ring for a while until it drove him mad.
    Well played!
  12. #12  
    This is great for Google, and with all they products & services that they have their hands in, I'm convinced that Google is actually Skynet. We will see all their cute little green Androids become self aware and transform into gun shooting, human killing terminators. The end is near people, hide while you still can, lol.





  13. #13  
    Quote Originally Posted by Smartfah View Post
    I'm convinced that Google is actually Skynet. ...The end is near people, hide while you still can, lol.
    Summer Glau will save me.
    You come at the king. You best not miss.

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